Forex Fundamental Analysis. Basics
What is fundamental analysis?
Fundamental analysis in Forex is a type of market analysis which involves studying of the economic situation of countries to trade currencies more effectively.It gives information on how the big political and economical events influence currency market. Figures and statements given in speeches by important politicians and economists are known among the traders as economical announcements that have great impact on currency market moves. In particular, announcements related to United States economy and politics are the primary to keep an eye on.
What is economic calendar?
Economic calendar is created by economists where they predict different economics figures and values according to previous months. It contains next data:Date — Time — Currency — Data Released — Actual — Forecast — Previous
For example: If the forecast is better than the previous
figure, then US dollar usually is going to strengthen against
other currencies.
But when news are due, traders have to check the actual data.
If to look at oil prices, a rising price will result in weakening
of currencies for countries which depend on huge oil import,
e.g. America, Japan.
A good example of detailed economic calendar can be found
here: Forex
Economic Calendar
How to read Forex Economic Calendar?
Whose speeches to keep an eye on?
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of USA, Secretary of the Treasury, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and so on. Speeches of those prominent people are watched closely by traders.
What are the most powerful figures that move Forex market?
Interest rateTraditionally, if a country raises its interest rates, its currency will strengthen because investors will shift their assets to that country to gain higher returns.
Employment situation
Decreases in the payroll employment are considered as signs
of a weak economic activity that could eventually lead to
lower interest rates, which has negative impact on the currency.
Trade balance, budget and treasury budget
A country that has a significant Trade Balance deficit will
generally have a weak currency as there will be continuous
commercial sellings of its currency.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
GDP is reported quarterly and is followed very closely as
it is a primary indicator of the strength of economic activity.
A high GDP figure is usually followed by expectations of higher
interest rates, which is mostly positive for the currency.
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